\n As climate change alters habitats and disrupts ecosystems, where will\n animals move to survive? And will human development prevent them from\n getting there?\n
\n\n This map shows the average direction mammals, birds, and amphibians\n need to move to track hospitable climates as they shift across the\n landscape. ↓\n
\n\n \n\n\n Researchers from University of Washington and The Nature Conservancy\n modeled potential habitat for 2954 species using climate change\n projections and the climatic needs of each species.\n
\n\n Using flow models from\n electronic circuit theory, they plotted movement routes for each species, connecting current\n habitats with their projected locations under climate change.\n
\n\n \n\n There are a number of ways that conservationists and land managers can\n re-build or maintain connectivity\n to improve species’ ability to adapt to warmer temperatures. Removing\n fencing, adding wildlife overpasses (or underpasses) to major\n roadways, and better routing of infrastructure like pipelines and\n powerlines can all help re-connect areas fragmented by human\n development.\n
\n\n \n\n Q: Does this mean 3000 species will move through my backyard\n because of climate change?\n
\n\n A: No, the researchers used coarse 50 km data, which\n is good for understanding the big picture view, but not good for\n understanding local patterns.\n
\n\n \n\n This map was created by\n Dan Majka, who\n works for The Nature Conservancy's North America Region science team.\n
\n\n\n This work would have not been possible without the\n pioneering connectivity science of Brad McRae (1966-2017).\n
\n\n\n The visualization uses code adapted from\n windy-js, which\n adapated code from the\n earth 3D wind visualization, which was inspired by\n hint.fm/wind, which is based on the\n concept of\n flow fields. To experiment with some of the underlying parameters, turn on\n controls:\n
\n\n\n Lawler, JJ, et al. 2013.\n Projected climate-driven faunal movement routes. Ecology Letters 16(8): 1014-1022.\n
\n\n McGuire, JL, et al. 2016.\n Achieving climate connectivity in a fragmented landscape. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: 113: 7195-7200.\n
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